Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Quarterfinal 4 match between Vexa and largadosypelados in the Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 3 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Vexa" if Vexa win the match against largadosypelados. This market will resolve to "largadosypelados" if largadosypelados win the match against Vexa. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 51% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Vexa and largadosypelados are scheduled to meet in the Quarterfinal 4 match of the Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs, Brazil's premier Counter-Strike competition, on 3 June at 5:00PM ET. The best-of-three format means the first team to win two maps advances. Current order book pricing on Polymarket implies a 47% probability for Vexa, reflecting near-parity between the sides despite Vexa's slightly favoured position in market sentiment.
The Gamers Club Liga Série A has established itself as a consistent barometer for Brazilian CS talent, with historical playoff matchups typically decided by map pool advantage and recent form rather than raw ranking disparity. Teams at this stage of the tournament have demonstrated consistency across multiple maps, making head-to-head records and recent LAN performances more predictive than season-long statistics. Previous quarterfinals in this competition have shown competitive margins, with upsets occurring when lower-seeded teams exploit specific map strengths or capitalise on opponent preparation gaps.
Traders should monitor team roster stability through to the match date, as last-minute substitutions or player illness have occasionally disrupted Brazilian playoff fixtures. The settlement window closes 7 June at 03:00 UTC, providing a three-day buffer beyond the scheduled start time. Any official postponement announcements from Gamers Club or the teams' social channels would signal potential delays; currently, no scheduling conflicts have been reported. Map veto strategy and recent scrim results, typically shared by team analysts on Twitter in the 48 hours before matches, may shift probability as traders gain additional information on preparation depth.
Counter-Strike (CS) is a series of multiplayer tactical first-person shooter video games, in which opposing teams attempt to complete various objectives. The series began on Windows in 1999 with the release of the first game, Counter-Strike. It was initially released as a mod for Half-Life that was designed by Minh Le and Jess Cliffe before the rights to the
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Vexa vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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