Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Sangal ALTERS and INFURITY Gaming in the United21 Group C, initially scheduled for May 12 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Sangal ALTERS" if Sangal ALTERS win the match against INFURITY Gaming. This market will resolve to "INFURITY Gaming" if INFURITY Gaming win the match against Sangal ALTERS. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 25% YES | 75% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 29% YES | 71% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 27% YES | 73% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 46% YES | 54% NO |
| Map Handicap: INF (-1.5) vs Sangal ALTERS (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Sangal ALTERS and INFURITY Gaming are scheduled to compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match within the United21 Group C tournament on 12 May at 04:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices Sangal ALTERS at approximately 25% implied probability, suggesting the market views INFURITY Gaming as the favoured side. This pricing reflects real-time trading activity across the platform's liquidity pools, with the spread between bid and ask orders determining the precise probability at any given moment.
Sangal ALTERS represents a Russian-based organisation competing in international Counter-Strike, whilst INFURITY Gaming operates from the CIS region. Historical matchups between teams of comparable tier and geography show considerable variance in outcomes, particularly in best-of-three formats where map selection and preparation depth become decisive factors. Recent tournament performances by both squads would typically inform baseline expectations, though roster stability and recent roster changes materially affect predictive confidence.
Traders should monitor several developments before settlement on 12 May. Confirmed roster lineups and any last-minute substitutions warrant attention, as do official tournament communications regarding scheduling changes—the market includes a 50-50 resolution clause if the match is delayed beyond seven days without completion. Map pool announcements and any publicly available pre-match analysis from esports publications may shift the order book as the fixture approaches. Weather or technical infrastructure issues affecting the tournament venue could also trigger delays, though such disruptions remain relatively uncommon in professional Counter-Strike events.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/united21_en. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Sangal ALTERS vs INFURITY Gaming (BO3) - United21 Group C" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $4K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/united21_en. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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