Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal match between Reign Above and SportsBetExpert in the FRAG TAP Reloaded Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 31 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Reign Above" if Reign Above win the match against SportsBetExpert. This market will resolve to "SportsBetExpert" if SportsBetExpert win the match against Reign Above. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: SportsBetExpert (-1.5) vs Reign Above (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Reign Above face SportsBetExpert in a Counter-Strike lower bracket semifinal at the FRAG TAP Reloaded Playoffs on 31 May at 10:00 AM ET, with the winner advancing further in the tournament structure. The match is a best-of-three format, and settlement occurs at 20:35 UTC on the same day, allowing approximately ten hours for the match to conclude after its scheduled start.
The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either extremely thin liquidity on the YES side or a consensus view that Reign Above faces prohibitive odds. Without recent public match records or established tier rankings between these organisations in major Counter-Strike circuits, traders are likely pricing based on limited information or prior tournament performance data. Lower bracket matches in esports playoffs often feature teams with uneven preparation levels, making probability assessment difficult when historical head-to-head records are sparse or unavailable.
Key catalysts include any roster changes or player availability announcements before 31 May, technical delays affecting the tournament schedule, and live match developments that could trigger the tie or cancellation resolution clauses. Traders should monitor the FRAG TAP Reloaded official channels for schedule updates, as the seven-day delay threshold means matches pushed beyond 7 June would resolve to 50-50. Current order book depth will determine whether meaningful positions can be established at the extreme probability, and any new information about team composition or tournament logistics could shift pricing substantially.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/floofys. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Reign Above vs SportsBetExpert (BO3) - FRAG TAP Reloaded Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/floofys. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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