Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 2 match between PARIVISION and Fisher College in the PGL Astana Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 10 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "PARIVISION" if PARIVISION win the match against Fisher College. This market will resolve to "Fisher College" if Fisher College win the match against PARIVISION. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 1% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 98% YES | 2% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Map Handicap: PRV (-1.5) vs Fisher College (+1.5) | 97% YES | 4% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 1% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
PARIVISION face Fisher College in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match during the PGL Astana Group Stage, with the fixture scheduled for 10 May at 07:00 ET. The 95% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects a significant skill disparity between the two rosters. PARIVISION operates as an established competitive unit with consistent LAN participation, whilst Fisher College represents an emerging North American academy programme with limited international exposure at this tier of competition.
The current probability pricing aligns with typical matchups between established regional competitors and developing collegiate rosters in Counter-Strike's competitive structure. Historical group stage encounters between teams of comparable standing show similar probability distributions, though upsets remain statistically possible when preparation gaps narrow or tactical innovations emerge. The seven-day resolution window provides substantial buffer against scheduling delays common in international esports tournaments, reducing uncertainty around match completion.
Traders should monitor PGL's official schedule confirmations and any roster changes announced before 10 May, as last-minute substitutions occasionally shift competitive balance. Team announcements regarding bootcamp preparation or recent scrim results could signal confidence levels, though such information rarely moves markets significantly when probability already reflects fundamental skill gaps. The settlement mechanism resolving to 50-50 only if the match remains unplayed or delayed beyond seven days creates a narrow path for ambiguous outcomes, making match cancellation the primary tail risk to monitor.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/pgl_cs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs Fisher College (BO3) - PGL Astana Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$104K in lifetime turnover and $359K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $104K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/pgl_cs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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