Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Project 91 and tincan in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 4 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Project 91" if Project 91 win the match against tincan. This market will resolve to "tincan" if tincan win the match against Project 91. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Project 91 and tincan will contest a best-of-one Counter-Strike match in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season on 4 May at 14:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating the crowd perceives this fixture as evenly matched. ESEA Advanced Europe serves as a competitive proving ground for teams below the elite tier, where roster stability and recent form often diverge significantly from seeding expectations.
Both teams operate within a competitive ecosystem where recent roster changes and player availability substantially affect match outcomes. Project 91 and tincan have competed in various European qualifiers and regional tournaments throughout 2024 and early 2025, though neither consistently ranks among the continent's top-tier organisations. Historical precedent in ESEA Advanced suggests that teams with stable five-man lineups and recent LAN experience tend to outperform those with rotating players or extended offline periods. The 50-50 probability likely reflects uncertainty about current roster composition and recent scrim results rather than established head-to-head records.
Traders should monitor ESEA's official schedule confirmation and any team announcements regarding player availability in the 48 hours preceding the match. Fixture cancellations or postponements in regional European leagues occur with moderate frequency due to visa issues, illness, or scheduling conflicts. The settlement window extends to 5 May 00:00 UTC, providing a one-day buffer beyond the scheduled start time. Any match delay exceeding seven days triggers a 50-50 resolution, so traders should track both teams' social media and ESEA's official channels for status updates.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Project 91 vs tincan (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$1 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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