Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 4 match between MOUZ NXT and UNiTY esports in the CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 9 at 1:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "MOUZ NXT" if MOUZ NXT win the match against UNiTY esports. This market will resolve to "UNiTY esports" if UNiTY esports win the match against MOUZ NXT. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: MOUZ.N (-1.5) vs UNiTY esports (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: UNiTY (-1.5) vs MOUZ NXT (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
MOUZ NXT, the academy roster of the established Mousesports organisation, faces UNiTY esports in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match within the CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage competition. The fixture is scheduled for 9 May at 1:00 PM ET, with settlement occurring at 23:00 UTC the same day. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero volume at any price level, resulting in the 0% implied probability reflecting an absence of market participants rather than directional conviction.
The CCT Europe Series represents a secondary-tier competitive pathway in European Counter-Strike, typically attracting developing rosters and academy teams. MOUZ NXT's participation signals Mousesports' investment in player development, though academy sides generally underperform their parent organisations' main lineups. UNiTY esports operates as an independent entity within this tier. Historical precedent suggests matches at this competitive level exhibit high variance, with academy teams capable of producing upsets against established academy competitors, though limited public match history between these specific rosters constrains predictive confidence.
Traders monitoring this market should track roster confirmations and any lineup changes announced before the scheduled start time, as academy team compositions frequently shift. The CCT Europe Series 1 schedule and any potential fixture postponements would be published through official CCT channels and team social media accounts. Given the settlement window extends only to 23:00 UTC on match day, delayed fixtures risk triggering the 50-50 resolution clause if play extends beyond seven days, creating a material settlement risk independent of competitive outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: MOUZ NXT vs UNiTY esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$144K in lifetime turnover and $1.0M of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $144K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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