Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between MIBR Academy and largadosypelados in the Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs, initially scheduled for June 4 at 5:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "MIBR Academy" if MIBR Academy win the match against largadosypelados. This market will resolve to "largadosypelados" if largadosypelados win the match against MIBR Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
MIBR Academy face largadosypelados in the Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs semifinal, a best-of-three Counter-Strike match scheduled for 4 June at 22:00 UTC. The winner advances to the final of Brazil's premier domestic esports league. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either extreme confidence in MIBR Academy or illiquidity in the market; with no trades yet recorded, the current price may not represent genuine market consensus but rather the ask-side spread from initial market makers.
MIBR Academy operates as the developmental roster for MIBR, one of Brazil's most established organisations, whilst largadosypelados represents a smaller, independent squad. Historical precedent suggests academy teams backed by major orgs typically command favourable odds in domestic playoffs, though upsets occur regularly in regional Counter-Strike where map pools and anti-strat preparation can shift outcomes dramatically. The complete absence of trading activity suggests either minimal market interest in this fixture or uncertainty about match confirmation.
Key catalysts for traders include official confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled, any last-minute roster changes or player availability issues, and line-up announcements closer to the event. The seven-day resolution window extends to 5 June at 01:05 UTC, providing buffer for delays common in regional esports. Monitor Gamers Club's official channels and MIBR's social media for scheduling updates, as Brazilian domestic leagues occasionally face postponements due to venue or broadcast logistics.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/gamersclubcs. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: MIBR Academy vs largadosypelados (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$8K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $8K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/gamersclubcs. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 5 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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