Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Upper bracket quarterfinal 1 match between Lynn Vision and Alter Ego in the Asian Champions League Group B, initially scheduled for May 11 at 3:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Lynn Vision" if Lynn Vision win the match against Alter Ego. This market will resolve to "Alter Ego" if Alter Ego win the match against Lynn Vision. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: LVG (-1.5) vs Alter Ego (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Lynn Vision and Alter Ego are scheduled to compete in a Counter-Strike best-of-three upper bracket quarterfinal match within the Asian Champions League Group B on 11 May at 03:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Lynn Vision, indicating market participants are pricing this as a near-certain outcome. This extreme skew typically emerges when one team holds a substantial competitive advantage or when liquidity is concentrated among traders with aligned views on the matchup.
Historical precedent in Asian Counter-Strike suggests that established regional powerhouses like Lynn Vision often command significant odds advantages over less-established opponents, though the 100% pricing warrants scrutiny. Teams with deeper rosters, consistent LAN experience, and recent tournament results typically justify probability floors of 70–85% rather than absolute certainty. The settlement window extends to 11 May at 16:00 UTC, providing a six-hour buffer beyond the scheduled start time; however, the seven-day cancellation clause means any significant delay could force a 50-50 resolution if no winner emerges within that window.
Traders should monitor tournament announcements regarding roster changes, player availability, or scheduling adjustments in the days preceding the match. Technical issues during online qualifiers or group stages can occasionally affect team preparation. The current extreme probability may reflect either genuine dominance by Lynn Vision or insufficient market depth; traders considering contrarian positions should assess whether Alter Ego's recent form, map pool, or player performance metrics justify the implied 0% win probability.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.huya.com/18525153. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Lynn Vision vs Alter Ego (BO3) - Asian Champions League Group B" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5K in lifetime turnover and $254K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $5K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.huya.com/18525153. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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