Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between Lilmix and FC Famalicão Esports in the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-In, initially scheduled for May 2 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Lilmix" if Lilmix win the match against FC Famalicão Esports. This market will resolve to "FC Famalicão Esports" if FC Famalicão Esports win the match against Lilmix. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: LILMIX (-1.5) vs FC Famalicão Esports (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Lilmix and FC Famalicão Esports are scheduled to compete in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match on 2 May at 4:00 AM ET as part of the CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-In. The match determines advancement through the qualifying bracket, with both teams competing for limited spots in the broader CCT Europe circuit. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 0% implied probability for Lilmix victory, suggesting either extremely heavy backing of Famalicão or minimal trading activity establishing a floor price.
Portuguese esports organisations like Famalicão have historically competed at varying competitive levels within European Counter-Strike, whilst Lilmix represents a roster that has cycled through multiple iterations. Direct head-to-head records between these squads remain sparse in publicly available databases, making comparable matchups difficult to establish. The CCT Europe format itself has undergone structural changes in recent seasons, affecting how qualifying brackets translate to competitive strength.
Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions in the days preceding the match, as Counter-Strike rosters occasionally shift before qualifier events. The 4:00 AM ET scheduling may affect player availability or performance conditions. Any official postponement announcements from CCT organisers would trigger the seven-day delay clause affecting settlement. Stream availability and post-match documentation from CCT will determine resolution clarity, particularly if technical issues interrupt play mid-series.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Lilmix vs FC Famalicão Esports (BO3) - CCT Europe Closed Qualifier: Series #1 Play-I" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$42K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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