Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 1 match between Imperial and largadosypelados in the CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 10 at 2:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Imperial" if Imperial win the match against largadosypelados. This market will resolve to "largadosypelados" if largadosypelados win the match against Imperial. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: LDP (-1.5) vs Imperial (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: IMP (-1.5) vs largadosypelados (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Imperial and largadosypelados are set to compete in the CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs semifinal on 10 May at 2:00PM ET, with the winner advancing to the final. The match is a best-of-three format within Blast's regional Counter-Strike circuit for South America. Currently, Polymarket's order book reflects a 100% implied probability, indicating traders are pricing Imperial as a near-certain winner. This extreme skew suggests either substantial confidence in Imperial's superiority or limited liquidity in the market, with minimal backing available for largadosypelados at any price.
Imperial has established itself as a dominant force in South American Counter-Strike, consistently ranking among the region's top teams in recent seasons. Historical precedent from prior CCT South America events shows that established squads with proven LAN experience and stable rosters typically maintain high win rates against less-established challengers. Largadosypelados, whilst competitive regionally, lacks the tournament pedigree and consistent results that would justify closing the gap to near-parity odds.
Traders should monitor team roster confirmations and any last-minute substitutions ahead of the 10 May fixture, as personnel changes can materially shift match dynamics. Schedule adherence is critical given the settlement window's 7-day buffer; any postponement beyond 17 May without a completed result triggers a 50-50 resolution. Technical issues or server problems during play would similarly affect settlement conditions, though Blast's infrastructure typically maintains reliability for CCT events.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Imperial vs largadosypelados (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$56K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $54K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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