Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between hypewrld and SAW in the CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group A, initially scheduled for May 12 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "hypewrld" if hypewrld win the match against SAW. This market will resolve to "SAW" if SAW win the match against hypewrld. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Map Handicap: SAW (-1.5) vs hypewrld (+1.5) | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
hypewrld and SAW will compete in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match within the CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group A on 12 May 2026 at 07:00 ET. The winner advances through the qualifying bracket; the loser faces elimination or drops into a lower bracket depending on the tournament structure. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating substantial uncertainty about the outcome. Both teams carry similar perceived strength in the eyes of active traders, with no clear favourite priced into the spread.
Historical precedent suggests that CCT Europe Play-In matches between relatively evenly matched regional teams typically settle near even odds when roster stability is confirmed and recent form data is limited. SAW has maintained a consistent presence in European qualifiers, whilst hypewrld represents a newer or less-documented roster in major tournament circuits. When comparable teams meet in play-in stages, the absence of recent head-to-head records or clear tier separation often sustains neutral probability estimates.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any schedule changes in the days preceding 12 May, as player availability or last-minute substitutions can shift perceived match quality. The settlement window closes at 17:00 UTC on the scheduled date; matches delayed beyond seven days without completion trigger a 50-50 resolution. Watch for official CCT announcements regarding bracket seeding or format changes, which could affect team preparation intensity or motivation entering the play-in stage.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: hypewrld vs SAW (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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