Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Elimination match between HEROIC Academy and Bebop in the NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A, initially scheduled for May 1 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "HEROIC Academy" if HEROIC Academy win the match against Bebop. This market will resolve to "Bebop" if Bebop win the match against HEROIC Academy. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: BBP (-1.5) vs HEROIC Academy (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
HEROIC Academy face Bebop in a best-of-three Counter-Strike elimination match within the NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A, scheduled for 1 May at 10:00 AM ET. The winner advances in the tournament bracket; the loser is eliminated. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero volume at any price level, with the implied probability sitting at 0% YES, indicating either minimal trading activity or a complete absence of bids supporting HEROIC Academy's chances.
The 0% pricing reflects extreme scepticism about HEROIC Academy's prospects relative to Bebop, though such extreme valuations typically emerge when markets lack sufficient liquidity rather than genuine certainty about outcomes. Historical precedent suggests that academy-level teams often struggle against established rosters in elimination fixtures, particularly in best-of-three formats where consistency matters. However, the complete absence of trading volume means this probability is not being actively formed by market participants—it represents a default state rather than informed consensus.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any late lineup changes from either organisation in the days preceding 1 May, as Counter-Strike team composition shifts can materially affect match outcomes. The seven-day grace period for match completion before 50-50 resolution creates a tail risk if scheduling disruptions occur. Watch for tournament announcements regarding bracket seeding or format changes that might affect HEROIC Academy's path. The settlement window closes at 20:40 UTC on 1 May, providing a narrow window for resolution once play concludes.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/nodwin_cs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: HEROIC Academy vs Bebop (BO3) - NODWIN Clutch Series Play-In Group A" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$39K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/nodwin_cs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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