Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between CYBERSHOKE Prospects and Imperial Academy in the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season, initially scheduled for May 6 at 10:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "CYBERSHOKE Prospects" if CYBERSHOKE Prospects win the match against Imperial Academy. This market will resolve to "Imperial Academy" if Imperial Academy win the match against CYBERSHOKE Prospects. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
CYBERSHOKE Prospects and Imperial Academy are scheduled to contest a best-of-one Counter-Strike match within the ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season on 6 May at 10:30 AM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 50-50 split, indicating substantial uncertainty amongst traders regarding which roster will secure the map victory. This even probability suggests neither team commands a clear competitive advantage in the eyes of the market, or that available information about roster composition and recent form remains insufficient to shift positioning decisively.
ESEA Advanced Europe serves as a secondary-tier competitive circuit, hosting teams below the Pro League threshold. Historical precedent from similar regional qualifiers indicates that matches at this level often produce volatile results, particularly in best-of-one formats where single-map outcomes eliminate the stabilising effect of series play. Teams fielding academy rosters or prospect lineups frequently exhibit inconsistent performance across different map pools and opponent matchups, making predictability challenging. The 50-50 settlement reflects this inherent variance rather than parity in absolute skill.
Traders monitoring this fixture should track roster announcements and recent ESEA results for both squads in the days preceding 6 May. Map selection, announced shortly before match time, will constitute a material catalyst—certain teams demonstrate pronounced strengths or weaknesses on specific maps. Any fixture postponement beyond the seven-day window from the scheduled date would trigger a 50-50 resolution regardless of eventual outcome, introducing additional settlement risk. Confirmation of match proceeding as scheduled remains a prerequisite for binary resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://hltv.org. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Prospects vs Imperial Academy (BO1) - ESEA Advanced Europe Regular Season" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$208 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://hltv.org. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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