Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 5 match between CYBERSHOKE Esports and ASTRAL in the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 6 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "CYBERSHOKE Esports" if CYBERSHOKE Esports win the match against ASTRAL. This market will resolve to "ASTRAL" if ASTRAL win the match against CYBERSHOKE Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: CS (-1.5) vs ASTRAL (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
CYBERSHOKE Esports and ASTRAL are scheduled to contest a best-of-three Counter-Strike match on 6 May at 10:00 AM ET as part of Round 5 in the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for CYBERSHOKE Esports, indicating the market perceives this outcome as virtually certain. This extreme probability typically emerges when one team holds a substantial competitive advantage or when liquidity remains thin relative to the stakes involved.
European Counter-Strike group stage matches at this tier have historically shown volatile outcomes despite favourites, particularly when rosters feature roster changes or limited recent competitive data. ASTRAL's recent form and head-to-head record against CYBERSHOKE Esports would normally anchor probability estimates; however, the absence of substantial pre-match liquidity on Polymarket's order book suggests limited price discovery has occurred. Comparable matches in regional European series have occasionally resolved with upsets when underdogs field coordinated play or when favourites underestimate opposition preparation.
Traders should monitor official tournament communications regarding any roster confirmations, last-minute substitutions, or scheduling changes through the BC Game Masters official channels. The settlement window extends to 20:00 UTC on 6 May, providing a seven-day buffer for match completion. Any delay beyond this period without a decisive result triggers a 50-50 resolution. Technical issues or server problems during play would similarly affect settlement conditions, making tournament infrastructure reliability a secondary consideration alongside team performance.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemasters. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: CYBERSHOKE Esports vs ASTRAL (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$45K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemasters. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 6 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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