Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket round 2 match between Clair Obscur and Aurora Young Blood in the CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 13 at 2:15PM ET. This market will resolve to "Clair Obscur" if Clair Obscur win the match against Aurora Young Blood. This market will resolve to "Aurora Young Blood" if Aurora Young Blood win the match against Clair Obscur. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: AUR.YB (-1.5) vs Clair Obscur (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 51% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Clair Obscur face Aurora Young Blood in the lower bracket round two of CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs, a best-of-three Counter-Strike match scheduled for 13 May at 2:15PM ET. The settlement window closes on 14 May at 00:45 UTC, allowing approximately 22 hours from the scheduled start time for the match to conclude. The current order book on Polymarket reflects 100% implied probability for a decisive result, suggesting traders are pricing in near-certainty that the match will be played and completed within the settlement window.
CCT Europe Contenders tournaments typically maintain reliable scheduling and completion rates, with lower bracket matches rarely experiencing cancellations or extended delays beyond the seven-day threshold that would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Both teams are established fixtures in the European competitive Counter-Strike circuit, reducing the likelihood of roster unavailability or withdrawal. Historical precedent from previous CCT Europe events shows consistent match completion within scheduled windows, particularly for lower bracket fixtures where organisational infrastructure is well-established.
Traders should monitor official CCT Europe communications and team announcements through 13 May for any scheduling changes, technical issues, or unforeseen circumstances that could prevent match completion. The tight settlement window—closing less than 23 hours after the scheduled start—leaves minimal buffer for delays. Any announcement of rescheduling beyond 14 May 00:45 UTC would materially alter the market's resolution conditions, though such occurrences remain uncommon in established regional tournaments.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs5. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Clair Obscur vs Aurora Young Blood (BO3) - CCT Europe Contenders #5 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$5K in lifetime turnover and $33K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
Last 24 hours alone saw $5K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs5. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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