Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between Bounty Hunters Esports and Keyd in the CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 8 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Bounty Hunters Esports" if Bounty Hunters Esports win the match against Keyd. This market will resolve to "Keyd" if Keyd win the match against Bounty Hunters Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: Keyd (-1.5) vs Bounty Hunters Esports (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: BHE (-1.5) vs Keyd (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Bounty Hunters Esports face Keyd in a Counter-Strike best-of-three Round of 16 match within the CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs, scheduled for 8 May at 9:00 AM ET. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal liquidity in the market's early formation or a strong consensus positioning against Bounty Hunters Esports. With settlement occurring at 19:00 UTC on 8 May, traders have a compressed window to assess team form and match conditions.
South American Counter-Strike competitive depth remains concentrated among established organisations. Keyd has historically maintained stronger regional standing and international exposure compared to Bounty Hunters Esports, which operates with less consistent tournament visibility. Prior CCT South America events have typically favoured teams with established rosters and coaching infrastructure, though upsets occur when lesser-known squads field motivated lineups or exploit meta shifts. The current zero probability suggests the market has already priced in Keyd as the clear favourite based on available roster and recent performance data.
Traders should monitor official CCT announcements for roster confirmations, any last-minute substitutions, or scheduling changes that could affect the 7-day resolution window. Recent South American esports coverage from outlets tracking the regional circuit would confirm whether either team has undergone roster changes or faced recent defeats that might shift competitive positioning. Technical delays or match postponements beyond the settlement deadline would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, creating tail-risk considerations for positions held through the event window.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Bounty Hunters Esports vs Keyd (BO3) - CCT South America Series #1 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$161K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 30% by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $161K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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