Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Lower bracket semifinal match between Atreides and NEW VISION in the CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 9 at 9:45AM ET. This market will resolve to "Atreides" if Atreides win the match against NEW VISION. This market will resolve to "NEW VISION" if NEW VISION win the match against Atreides. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: Atreides (-1.5) vs NEW VISION (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Atreides and NEW VISION are scheduled to contest a lower bracket semifinal in the CCT Europe Challengers Series on 9 May at 09:45 ET. The match is a best-of-three format within a regional qualifier circuit that feeds into broader European competitive Counter-Strike structures. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Atreides, indicating either overwhelming confidence in their victory or minimal liquidity at the current price levels. Such extreme probabilities in esports markets typically signal either a heavily favoured team or sparse trading activity rather than genuine certainty.
Historical precedent in CCT Europe Challengers matches shows that lower bracket semifinals frequently feature competitive teams with comparable skill levels, making outright certainties unusual. Teams in this tier often have inconsistent recent form, with results dependent on map selection, player availability, and momentum from preceding matches. The extreme probability here warrants scrutiny—such markets often correct sharply if fresh information emerges about team composition, roster changes, or recent performance data.
Traders should monitor official CCT announcements for any roster confirmations or last-minute changes in the days preceding the match. The settlement window closes at 19:45 UTC on 9 May, providing a hard deadline. Any match postponement beyond 7 days triggers a 50-50 resolution, creating tail risk for positions taken at current prices. Recent esports scheduling disruptions have been documented across multiple regional circuits, making fixture reliability a material consideration for position sizing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs3. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Atreides vs NEW VISION (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$11K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs3. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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