Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike match between against All authority and G2 Ares in the CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group B, initially scheduled for May 12 at 10:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "against All authority" if against All authority win the match against G2 Ares. This market will resolve to "G2 Ares" if G2 Ares win the match against against All authority. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map 1 Winner | 33% YES | 67% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 27% YES | 74% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 44% YES | 56% NO |
| Map Handicap: G2.A (-1.5) vs against All authority (+1.5) | 67% YES | 34% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Against All Authority face G2 Ares in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match within the CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group B on 12 May at 10:00 AM ET. The winner advances through the play-in bracket; the loser's path to the main event becomes more constrained. G2 Ares, fielding established players under the G2 Esports organisation, typically command stronger odds in regional European fixtures. Against All Authority, a roster with less consistent tournament visibility, currently trades at 34% implied probability on Polymarket's order book, reflecting the perceived skill and experience gap.
Historical precedent in CCT Europe play-in matches shows that established organisations with stable rosters tend to convert favourites at roughly 65–70% win rates, though upsets occur when lesser-known teams exploit specific map pools or preparation advantages. Against All Authority's probability sits below this baseline, suggesting the market has priced in G2 Ares as a clear favourite based on roster composition and recent form rather than any specific tactical edge.
Key variables for traders include roster confirmation closer to match day—any last-minute substitutions or player unavailability could shift the matchup significantly—and the specific map pool announcement, which typically occurs days before play. The CCT Europe circuit publishes schedules and team rosters on its official channels; delays beyond 7 days trigger the 50-50 resolution clause, creating tail-risk considerations for positions held through the settlement window closing 12 May at 20:00 UTC.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/cct_cs2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: against All authority vs G2 Ares (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group B" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$338 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $338 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/cct_cs2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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