Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve according to the hero with the most total picks across all matches at BLAST Slam VII currently scheduled for May 26th - June 7th, 2026. If this tournament is cancelled, postponed after June 10, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or a most picked hero has not been declared within this timeframe, this market will resolve to "Other". If multiple heroes are tied for most picks, this market will resolve in favor of the hero whose listed name comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the tournament organizer, BLAST (https://blast.tv/dota/tournaments/blast-slam-vii).
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Hoodwink | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Rubick | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Pangolier | 48% YES | 53% NO |
| Hero A | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Hero B | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Other | 50% YES | 50% NO |
BLAST Slam VII will take place from 26 May to 7 June 2026, with professional Dota 2 teams competing across multiple matches to determine which hero receives the most total picks throughout the tournament. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 49% implied probability, suggesting meaningful uncertainty amongst traders regarding which hero will lead in selection frequency across all games played during this window.
Historical precedent from major Dota 2 tournaments indicates that hero meta shifts significantly based on patch timing and competitive adaptation. The hero with most picks typically reflects the current patch's strongest utility or carry options, with heroes like Earthshaker, Rubick, and Invoker frequently dominating pick statistics at international events. However, tournament-specific factors—including team compositions, regional playstyles, and mid-event meta adjustments—create substantial variance. At The International 2023, no single hero exceeded 15% of total picks, demonstrating how distributed hero selection can become at elite levels.
Traders should monitor patch notes released before the tournament begins, as Valve's balance changes directly influence hero viability and competitive prioritisation. Team roster announcements and recent qualifier results will signal which heroes teams have been practising. The tournament schedule's exact match count remains a dependency; BLAST's official website and social media channels will confirm final details. Any significant roster changes or emergency patches between now and late May could substantially shift expectations around which heroes teams will prioritise, making real-time updates critical for position management.
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Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "BLAST Slam VII: Most Picked Hero" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $175 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for dota contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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