Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Up" if the Dogecoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the DOGE/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream DOGE/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET | 0% YES | 100% NO |
This market resolves based on whether Dogecoin's price according to Chainlink's DOGE/USD data feed is higher or equal at 10:45PM ET on 1 June 2026 compared to 10:30PM ET that same evening. The 15-minute window captures intraday volatility in a cryptocurrency that has historically exhibited significant price swings, particularly during US trading hours when retail and institutional activity peaks.
The current 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either extreme confidence in a downward move or, more likely, a lack of liquidity and order placement in this specific narrow window. Dogecoin's typical intraday volatility ranges between 1–3% during normal market conditions, making a directional move over 15 minutes plausible but not predetermined. Historical precedent suggests that such tight time windows in crypto markets often resolve randomly absent major news catalysts, as price discovery operates across multiple exchanges simultaneously and Chainlink's feed aggregates from several sources with slight latency variations.
Traders should monitor whether any scheduled announcements, regulatory statements, or macroeconomic releases occur near the settlement window. Dogecoin has shown sensitivity to social media activity and broader crypto sentiment shifts, particularly around Bitcoin movements. The Chainlink data stream's specific methodology—aggregating from multiple exchanges—means traders need to account for potential feed delays or flash movements that may not persist across all venues. Liquidity conditions on major spot exchanges during that exact 15-minute window will ultimately determine whether any meaningful directional pressure materialises.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Dogecoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:30PM-10:45PM ET" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://data.chain.link/streams/doge-usd. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: