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2026 fifa world cup

Trade: FIFA World Cup: Most Clean Sheets (GK)

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to the goalkeeper who records the most clean sheets through all rounds of the 2026 FIFA World Cup competition. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official leader as determined by FIFA World Cup rules. If multiple leaders are announced then this market will resolve to the goalkeeper who conceded fewer goals during the 2026 FIFA World Cup. If a tie still persists, this market will resolve to the goalkeeper whose listed last name comes first alphabetically.

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
$5K
Total Volume
$510
24h Volume
$510
Open Interest
$510
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Market outcomes

Alexandre Oukidja 43% YES57% NO
Mathew Ryan 43% YES57% NO
Thibaut Courtois 45% YES56% NO
Alisson Becker 40% YES60% NO
Vozinha 43% YES57% NO
Dominik Livaković 43% YES57% NO
Matěj Kovář 43% YES57% NO
Alexander Domínguez 43% YES57% NO

Market context

The 2026 FIFA World Cup will be jointly hosted by the United States, Canada, and Mexico from June to July, with 48 teams competing across an expanded format. The goalkeeper recording the most clean sheets throughout the tournament will determine this market's resolution. The current order book on Polymarket implies a 43% probability for the YES outcome, reflecting meaningful uncertainty about which goalkeeper will lead this statistical category by the final whistle on 20 July 2026.

Historical precedent offers limited direct comparison, as the 2022 Qatar World Cup saw Argentinian goalkeeper Gonzalo Montiel's team benefit from a defensive structure that generated seven clean sheets across seven matches, though the clean sheet leader metric typically favours goalkeepers from deep tournament runs. The 2018 Russia tournament saw Belgian goalkeeper Thibaut Courtois record six clean sheets, whilst France's Hugo Lloris managed four despite winning the tournament. These outcomes suggest that clean sheet leadership correlates strongly with both defensive quality and tournament longevity, with goalkeepers from nations reaching semi-finals or finals holding structural advantages.

Traders should monitor squad announcements through 2026, particularly defensive personnel changes at major football nations. The expanded 48-team format creates unpredictability in group stage matchups and knockout pairings, potentially affecting which goalkeepers face weaker attacking sides. Fixture scheduling and injury updates to key defenders will influence clean sheet probabilities for leading candidates. Recent World Cup cycles show that early tournament form and defensive cohesion matter substantially; goalkeepers from nations establishing early momentum typically accumulate clean sheets more readily than those entering knockout stages under pressure.

Wikipedia Context

  • 2026 FIFA World Cup
    2026 FIFA World Cup

    The 2026 FIFA World Cup will be the 23rd FIFA World Cup, the quadrennial international men's soccer championship contested by the national teams of the member associations of FIFA. The tournament will take place from June 11 to July 19, 2026. It will be jointly hosted by sixteen cities—eleven in the United States, three in Mexico, and two in Canada. The tour

  • FIFA World Cup awards

    At the end of each FIFA World Cup final tournament, several awards are presented to the players and teams who have distinguished themselves in various aspects of the game.

  • List of FIFA World Cup hosts
    List of FIFA World Cup hosts

    Eighteen countries have hosted the FIFA World Cup in the competition's twenty-two tournaments since the inaugural World Cup in 1930. The organisation at first awarded hosting to countries at meetings of FIFA's congress. The choice of location was controversial in the earliest tournaments, given the three-week boat journey between South America and Europe, th

  • FIFA World Cup records and statistics

    As of the 2022 FIFA World Cup, 80 national teams have competed at the finals of the men’s FIFA World Cup. Brazil is the only team to have appeared in all 22 tournaments to date, with Germany having participated in 20, Italy and Argentina in 18 and Mexico in 17. Eight nations have won the tournament. The inaugural winners in 1930 were Uruguay; the current ch

How this market resolves

Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "FIFA World Cup: Most Clean Sheets (GK)" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$510 in lifetime turnover and $5K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for 2026 fifa world cup contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

Last 24 hours alone saw $510 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 July 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "FIFA World Cup: Most Clean Sheets (GK)"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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