Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Daniel Dutra da Silva and Liam Broady in the Chisinau, originally scheduled for May 26, 2026 at 6:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Daniel Dutra da Silva' if Daniel Dutra da Silva advances against Liam Broady. This market will resolve to 'Liam Broady' if Liam Broady advances against Daniel Dutra da Silva. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Chisinau: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Liam Broady | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Completed Match | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Chisinau: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Liam Broady Set 1 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Chisinau: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Liam Broady Total Sets: O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Chisinau: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Liam Broady Match O/U 21.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Chisinau: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Liam Broady Match O/U 22.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Chisinau: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Liam Broady Match O/U 23.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Chisinau: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Liam Broady Set 1 O/U 8.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Daniel Dutra da Silva, a Brazilian player ranked outside the ATP top 200, faces British qualifier Liam Broady in the opening round of the Chisinau ATP Challenger event scheduled for 26 May 2026. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects strong backing for Broady, whose ranking typically sits in the 150–180 range on the ATP ladder. The current pricing suggests traders view this as a heavily favoured outcome for the British player, though the extreme probability leaves minimal margin for upset scenarios.
Broady has competed regularly on the Challenger circuit and holds a modest but consistent record against lower-ranked opponents. Da Silva, whilst less established in professional rankings, has shown capability in qualifying rounds and lower-tier tournaments. Historical Challenger matchups between players of similar calibre often produce competitive first-round contests, yet the order book's complete rejection of da Silva's chances indicates confidence in Broady's superiority based on recent form or head-to-head considerations.
Traders should monitor official ATP Challenger draws confirmation and any late withdrawals or injury announcements in the week preceding the match. Polymarket's settlement window closes 2 June 2026, providing a two-day buffer beyond the scheduled date. Weather conditions in Chisinau during late May could affect scheduling, whilst any match delays exceeding seven days without completion would trigger a 50-50 resolution. Current liquidity appears concentrated on the Broady side of the order book.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Chisinau: Daniel Dutra da Silva vs Liam Broady" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$21K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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