Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Francisco Comesana and Billy Harris in the Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification, originally scheduled for May 4, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Francisco Comesana' if Francisco Comesana advances against Billy Harris. This market will resolve to 'Billy Harris' if Billy Harris advances against Francisco Comesana. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Francisco Comesana vs Billy Harris | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Francisco Comesana and Billy Harris are scheduled to compete in the qualifying round of the Internazionali BNL d'Italia on 4 May 2026. The match represents a lower-tier professional tennis fixture, with the winner advancing to the main draw of Rome's ATP Masters 1000 event. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Comesana, suggesting traders have priced in either a strong expectation of his victory or significant uncertainty about match completion.
Qualifying matches at ATP Masters events typically feature players ranked outside the top 100, where form and recent tournament results carry substantial weight. Comesana, an Argentine player, and Harris, a British competitor, operate within similar ranking bands where head-to-head records and recent clay-court performance become decisive factors. Historical qualifying fixtures at Rome show cancellation rates below 2% once matches are scheduled, though weather delays do occur during the spring European clay season.
Traders should monitor both players' entry confirmations and any scheduling adjustments from the ATP in the week preceding the event. Injury announcements or late withdrawals would trigger immediate repricing, as would weather forecasts indicating potential delays beyond the seven-day resolution window. Recent tournament results from April 2026 events across European clay will provide the most relevant form indicators, particularly performances in similar qualifying environments where surface adaptation and match fitness prove critical.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Internazionali BNL d'Italia, Qualification: Francisco Comesana vs Billy Harris" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$44K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for tennis contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.atptour.com/en/scores/current. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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