Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the table tennis match between Romania and Poland in a WTT event, scheduled for May 4 at 12:00PM ET. This market will resolve to 'Romania' if Romania wins against Poland. This market will resolve to 'Poland' if Poland wins against Romania. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| WTT - Men's Singles: Romania vs Poland | 100% YES | 0% NO |
A men's singles table tennis match between Romania and Poland is scheduled for 4 May 2026 at 12:00 PM ET as part of a WTT event. The market currently reflects 100% implied probability on the order book, indicating either exceptionally strong conviction around one outcome or minimal liquidity formation at present. Settlement occurs on 11 May, allowing a seven-day window for match completion; any cancellation, tie, or unresolved delay beyond that period triggers a 50-50 resolution.
Romania and Poland both maintain competitive table tennis programmes within European rankings, though historical head-to-head records and recent form disparities typically inform market pricing in comparable WTT fixtures. Current probability extremes often reflect limited order book depth rather than fundamental certainty, particularly in niche sports markets where early traders establish positions before broader participation. The 100% reading warrants scrutiny regarding whether this reflects genuine predictive consensus or simply the first significant trade in a thin market.
Traders should monitor official WTT scheduling confirmations and any player injury announcements in the fortnight preceding 4 May, as roster changes or withdrawals frequently alter match outcomes in team-based events. Polymarket's order book will likely shift once secondary traders enter, particularly if news emerges regarding player availability or recent performance metrics from qualifying rounds. The settlement window's seven-day buffer provides reasonable protection against scheduling disruptions, though weather or venue complications remain standard operational risks in international sporting fixtures.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.worldtabletennis.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "WTT - Men's Singles: Romania vs Poland" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$116 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.worldtabletennis.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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