Trade: Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026?
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to the next NFL team Tyreek Hill joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Tyreek Hill does not join a new NFL team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Tyreek Hill joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Tyreek Hill is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any NFL team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $811
- Total Volume
- $11K
- 24h Volume
- $29
- Open Interest
- $2K
Market outcomes
| Kansas City Chiefs | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Buffalo Bills | 7% YES | 93% NO |
| Los Angeles Chargers | 32% YES | 68% NO |
| Las Vegas Raiders | 32% YES | 68% NO |
| New England Patriots | 29% YES | 71% NO |
| San Francisco 49ers | 1% YES | 99% NO |
| Baltimore Ravens | 27% YES | 73% NO |
| Minnesota Vikings | 48% YES | 52% NO |
Market context
Tyreek Hill currently plays for the Miami Dolphins under contract through the 2025 season. The market assesses whether he will sign with a different NFL franchise by the end of August 2026. Hill is 31 years old and has spent the past three seasons with Miami after joining from Kansas City in 2020. The 40% implied probability on the order book reflects genuine uncertainty about whether the Dolphins retain him, release him, or he moves elsewhere during the 2026 offseason window.
Historical precedent suggests veteran wide receivers of Hill's calibre—those with multiple Pro Bowl selections and sustained production—typically remain with their current organisation unless released or traded. Hill's age and injury history (he suffered a wrist injury in 2024) create ambiguity around his market value heading into 2026. Comparable cases like DeAndre Hopkins and Julio Jones show that elite receivers in their early thirties can still command interest from multiple teams, though declining performance or salary cap pressures often determine movement rather than player preference alone.
The settlement window extends through August 2026, capturing the full offseason period when trades and free agency conclude. Key catalysts include the Dolphins' salary cap situation heading into 2026, their draft and free agency decisions in spring 2026, and any mid-season performance indicators from Hill during the 2025 campaign. Recent reporting on Miami's financial flexibility and front office direction will shape whether they view Hill as part of their long-term plans or a candidate for release to create cap space.
Wikipedia Context
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Tyreek HillTyreek Hill is an American professional football wide receiver. He played college football for the Garden City Broncbusters, Oklahoma State Cowboys, and West Alabama Tigers before being selected by the Kansas City Chiefs in the fifth round of the 2016 NFL draft. He most recently played for the Miami Dolphins.
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Tyree Gillespie
Tyree Gillespie is an American professional football safety. He played college football at Missouri and was selected by the Las Vegas Raiders in the fourth round of the 2021 NFL draft.
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Tyree Hollins
Tyree Hollins is an American former professional football defensive back who played for the Saskatchewan Roughriders and Montreal Alouettes of the Canadian Football League (CFL). He played college football at Grambling State University.
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William Tyree
Sir Alfred William Tyree was an Australian engineer and businessman, recognized for his impact on the Australian engineering, manufacturing and power industries.
How this market resolves
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026?" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$11K in lifetime turnover and $811 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $29 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for 3 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 31 August 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Where will Tyreek Hill play in 2026?"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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