This market will resolve to "Inoue" if Naoya Inoue is officially declared the winner of the fight against Junto Nakatani, scheduled for May 3, 2026 at the Tokyo Dome in Tokyo, Japan. It will resolve to "Nakatani" if Junto Nakatani is officially declared the winner. If the fight is declared a draw or technical draw, ruled a No Contest, not scored, canceled, or postponed beyond May 17, 2026, this market will resolve "50-50". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Japanese Boxing Commission; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Trade on the latest odds for The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani on PolyGram, a prediction market platform where you can buy and sell outcome shares. Current market prices reflect the crowd's real-time probability estimate for this event.
Market outcomes
| The Day: Naoya Inoue vs. Junto Nakatani | 82% YES | 18% NO |
Each sports market names its resolution source in advance — typically the official league result feed, referee scorecard or governing body announcement. Odds on PolyGram reflect the Polymarket order book, not a bookmaker's margin, so the price is the crowd's probability rather than a 5-20% vig layered on top. You can enter or exit at any point, including during in-play windows for the biggest matches, and settlement in USDC lands on Polygon within minutes of resolution.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 82%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
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