Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming Copa Sudamericana game between Racing Club and Caracas FC, scheduled for May 21, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Racing Club vs. Caracas FC match originally scheduled for May 21, 2026 at 8:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 48% YES | 52% NO |
Racing Club will face Caracas FC in a Copa Sudamericana fixture on 21 May 2026 at 8:00 PM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score at 90 minutes plus stoppage time, with any unlisted outcome settling as "Any Other Score." The 48% implied probability reflects current order book positioning on Polymarket, where traders are pricing the likelihood of a specific scoreline materialising rather than a simple match result.
Exact-score markets in South American club competitions typically see probability mass distributed across 2–3 most likely outcomes, with 1–1 draws and narrow home victories historically accounting for 35–45% of combined probability in Copa Sudamericana matches. Racing Club's recent domestic form and Caracas FC's away record in continental play will shape trader expectations around goal frequency. The current 48% probability suggests the market is pricing a moderately concentrated outcome rather than a heavily fragmented scoreline distribution, indicating confidence in a particular result among active traders.
Key variables include team news and injury status, which should emerge in the week preceding the match. Caracas FC's travel logistics from Venezuela and Racing Club's fixture congestion in the Argentine domestic calendar may influence tactical setup and fatigue levels. Any official postponement would keep the market open until completion, potentially allowing new information to shift probabilities. Traders should monitor Copa Sudamericana scheduling announcements and both clubs' official statements for squad availability changes closer to the settlement window.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Racing Club vs. Caracas FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $258 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.conmebol.com/sudamericana/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 22 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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