Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for May 12 at 12:50 PM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Al Kholood Saudi Club (-1.5) | 38% YES | 62% NO |
| Al Okhdood SC (-1.5) | 6% YES | 95% NO |
| Al Kholood Saudi Club (-2.5) | 18% YES | 82% NO |
| Al Okhdood SC (-2.5) | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 82% YES | 19% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 57% YES | 43% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 36% YES | 64% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 18% YES | 83% NO |
Al Kholood and Al Okhdood will meet in the Saudi Professional League on 12 May at 12:50 PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket prices the YES outcome at 34%, reflecting modest backing for the proposition relative to alternative market outcomes. This probability has formed through real-time trading activity and reflects the aggregate view of participants pricing the event across the settlement window closing 16 May at 16:50 UTC.
Historical context for Saudi Professional League fixtures shows significant variance in outcomes depending on home advantage, recent form, and squad availability. Al Kholood finished the 2023–24 season mid-table, whilst Al Okhdood has operated as a competitive mid-tier side. Direct head-to-head records between these clubs provide limited predictive power given the SPL's competitive restructuring and player turnover. The 34% probability sits between typical underdog and toss-up territory, suggesting the market views this outcome as plausible but not favoured.
Traders should monitor official SPL fixture confirmations and any late squad announcements in the days preceding the match. Injury reports or managerial changes to either side could shift the order book materially. Weather conditions in Saudi Arabia during May are stable, so pitch and environmental factors are unlikely to be catalysts. The settlement window extends through match completion, allowing real-time repricing as team news emerges and kickoff approaches.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.slstat.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Okhdood SC - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$179 in lifetime turnover and $125K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is exceptional — among the deepest order books in the category.
Last 24 hours alone saw $139 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.slstat.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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