Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This event is for the upcoming Saudi Professional League game, scheduled for Thursday, May 14, 2026 between Al Ettifaq Saudi Club and Al Ittihad Saudi Club.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Al Ettifaq Saudi Club | 25% YES | 76% NO |
| Draw (Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club) | 23% YES | 77% NO |
| Al Ittihad Saudi Club | 52% YES | 49% NO |
Al Ettifaq will face Al Ittihad in the Saudi Professional League on 14 May 2026. The current order book on Polymarket prices Al Ettifaq's victory at 25 per cent implied probability, reflecting the market's assessment that Al Ittihad enters as the stronger favourite. This pricing emerges from real-time trading activity across the order book, where traders are pricing in relative squad strength, recent form, and head-to-head records between the two clubs.
Historically, Al Ittihad has been the more dominant force in Saudi football, winning multiple league titles and establishing itself as a consistent top-four finisher. Al Ettifaq, by contrast, has experienced more volatility in recent seasons, though the club has invested significantly in recent transfer windows. The 25 per cent probability for an Ettifaq win aligns with their underdog status in direct matchups against established rivals like Al Ittihad, though not so low as to price them out entirely.
Traders monitoring this market should track squad news and injury updates in the weeks leading to 14 May, particularly regarding key attacking or defensive personnel at either club. Recent fixture congestion in the Saudi Professional League schedule and any European competition commitments for players on loan could affect team rotation decisions. Form in the final weeks of the season will also shift probabilities materially, as will any official team news released closer to the settlement window deadline on 14 May at 18:00 UTC.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.slstat.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $45K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.slstat.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: