Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming NWSL game between Kansas City Current and Boston Legacy FC, scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Kansas City Current vs. Boston Legacy FC match originally scheduled for May 30, 2026 at 1:30 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-1 | 49% YES | 52% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-2 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 49% YES | 51% NO |
Kansas City Current will face Boston Legacy FC in an NWSL fixture on 30 May 2026 at 1:30 PM ET. The market resolves on the exact final score after 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time, with any unmatched scoreline settling as "Any Other Score." The 49% implied probability on the order book reflects genuine uncertainty about whether the match will produce one of the explicitly listed outcomes versus a less common scoreline.
Exact-score markets in women's football typically see probabilities cluster around 15–25% for the most likely results, with the remainder distributed across dozens of possible combinations. The current 49% YES probability suggests the listed outcomes encompass the most probable scenarios—likely including 1–1, 1–0 to either side, and 2–1 variants—which aligns with typical NWSL match patterns where low-scoring draws and narrow victories dominate. Historical data from comparable NWSL fixtures shows that roughly half of matches resolve to one of four or five most-expected scorelines, making the current probability reasonable if the market has captured the modal outcomes.
Traders should monitor team news through late May, particularly injury updates and squad rotations as the fixture falls late in the season. Current form, recent head-to-head records, and any fixture congestion affecting either side will influence scoring likelihood. Boston's inaugural NWSL campaign trajectory and Kansas City's competitive position will shape expectations around attacking output and defensive solidity. The settlement window closes at 17:30 UTC on match day, providing limited time for late-breaking information after kick-off.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.nwslsoccer.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Kansas City Current vs. Boston Legacy FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $248 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.nwslsoccer.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 30 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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