Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to the player who wins the 2026 MLS Goalkeeper of the Year. In the event of a tie, this market will resolve according to the official winner as determined by MLS rules. If multiple winners are announced then this market will resolve to the player whose listed last name comes first alphabetically. If the 2026 MLS season is cancelled, postponed after December 31, 2026 ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to “Other”. The resolution source for this market will be official information from Major League Soccer; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Chris Brady | 20% YES | 80% NO |
| Roman Celentano | 9% YES | 91% NO |
| Andre Blake | 17% YES | 84% NO |
| Michael Collodi | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| Jonathan Bond | 47% YES | 54% NO |
| CJ dos Santos | 47% YES | 53% NO |
| Roman Bürki | 49% YES | 51% NO |
| player D | — | |
The 2026 MLS season will culminate in the awarding of the Goalkeeper of the Year award, determined by official MLS voting. The current order book on Polymarket prices this outcome at a 20% implied probability, reflecting significant uncertainty about which goalkeeper will claim the honour across the league's 29 teams. Settlement occurs on 22 November 2026, following the conclusion of the regular season and any playoff activity that determines the award winner.
Historical precedent suggests goalkeeper awards in MLS tend to concentrate around shot-stoppers from playoff-contending sides, though individual performance metrics—save percentage, goals against average, and clean sheets—carry substantial weight in voting. Recent winners have included goalkeepers from both traditional powerhouses and emerging competitive franchises. The 20% probability implies the market views the award as highly dispersed across multiple candidates, with no single goalkeeper commanding dominant favourite status at this stage of the 2025 season.
Key catalysts shaping the probability will include mid-season performance trends, injury announcements affecting top contenders, and playoff seeding outcomes that influence voting visibility. Trade deadline activity in summer 2026 may alter competitive balance for several teams. Traders should monitor official MLS communications regarding voting procedures and any rule changes, alongside injury reports for established goalkeeping talent. The settlement window's closure on 22 November 2026 allows for resolution shortly after the MLS Cup final, ensuring sufficient time for official award announcement.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "MLS: 2026 Goalkeeper of the Year" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$23K in lifetime turnover and $440 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $51 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for 3 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 22 November 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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