Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming MLB game between the Colorado Rockies and Pittsburgh Pirates, scheduled for May 13 at 6:40PM ET: This market will resolve to "Colorado Rockies" if the Colorado Rockies win the game. This market will resolve to "Pittsburgh Pirates" if the Pittsburgh Pirates win the game. If the game is postponed, this market will remain open until the game has been completed. If the game is canceled entirely, with no make-up game, or ends in a tie, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market is the official final statistics of the event as recognized by the governing body or event organizers.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates | 35% YES | 66% NO |
| NRFI | 43% YES | 57% NO |
The Colorado Rockies face the Pittsburgh Pirates on 13 May at 6:40PM ET in an MLB regular-season matchup. The current order book on Polymarket prices a Rockies victory at 32 per cent implied probability, reflecting substantial backing for a Pirates win. This pricing emerges from real-time trading activity across the platform's liquidity pools, with the spread between bid and ask orders determining the precise probability at any given moment.
Historically, the Rockies' home-field advantage at Coors Field has been a significant factor in their matchups against Pittsburgh, though their overall record against the Pirates in recent seasons provides limited predictive power for individual games. The Pirates' performance in May tends to reflect their early-season form, which varies considerably year to year. Current market pricing suggests traders view Pittsburgh as the favoured outcome, a positioning that may reflect recent team performance, pitching matchups, or injury status entering the week of the fixture.
Traders should monitor roster announcements and starting pitcher confirmations in the days preceding the match, as these directly influence win probability. Weather conditions at Coors Field—particularly wind direction and temperature—can materially affect game outcomes given the ballpark's elevation and dimensions. Any late-breaking injury news to key position players or pitchers could shift the order book significantly. The settlement window extends to 20 May 2026, allowing time for postponements or make-up games should weather or scheduling issues arise.
The Colorado Rockies are an American professional baseball team based in Denver. The Rockies compete in Major League Baseball (MLB) as a member club of the National League (NL) West Division. The team plays its home baseball games at Coors Field, which is located in the Lower Downtown area of Denver. The club is owned by the Monfort brothers.
Below is a partial list of minor league baseball players in the Colorado Rockies system and rosters of their minor league affiliates:
The Colorado Rockies were a professional ice hockey team in the National Hockey League (NHL) that played in Denver from 1976 to 1982. They were founded as the Kansas City Scouts, an expansion team that began play in the NHL in the 1974–75 season. The Scouts moved from Kansas City, Missouri, to Denver for the 1976–77 season. After six seasons in Denver, the f
The following is a list of players, both past and current, who appeared at least in one game for the Colorado Rockies franchise.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.mlb.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Colorado Rockies vs. Pittsburgh Pirates" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$0 in lifetime turnover and $21K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.mlb.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 20 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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