Trade: Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC - Exact Score
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming La Liga game between Villarreal CF and Sevilla FC, scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC match originally scheduled for May 13, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded. If the actual score is not one of the explicitly listed outcomes, the market resolves to "Any Other Score." If the match is postponed, the market will remain open until it is completed; if it is canceled with no make-up game, the market resolves to "0-0." The primary resolution source for this market will be…
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $46K
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 1-1 | 13% YES | 87% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-0 | 7% YES | 94% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-0 | 10% YES | 90% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 8% YES | 93% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-2 | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-1 | 5% YES | 95% NO |
Market context
Villarreal and Sevilla will contest a La Liga fixture on 13 May 2026 at 1:00 PM ET, with settlement determined by the exact final score after 90 minutes plus stoppage time. The market currently reflects a 13% implied probability for the YES outcome, formed across Polymarket's order book where traders are pricing specific scorelines against the catch-all "Any Other Score" option. Settlement closes at 17:00 UTC on match day, allowing roughly four hours post-kickoff for final confirmation.
Exact-score markets in La Liga typically see low individual probabilities because they fragment across numerous possible outcomes. Historical data from comparable fixtures between mid-table Spanish clubs shows that draws and narrow victories (1–0, 2–1, 1–1) account for roughly 65–70% of matches, whilst scorelines beyond 3–2 become increasingly rare. The 13% probability suggests traders are pricing a specific scoreline or small cluster of outcomes as moderately likely relative to the dispersed field of alternatives. Context matters: Villarreal finished 2024–25 in mid-table, whilst Sevilla has experienced recent volatility in league position, making prediction more uncertain than for established top-four sides.
Team news and injury updates will shape trading through early May. Fixture congestion in the final weeks of La Liga—particularly European qualification races—can affect squad rotation and tactical approach. Monitor official La Liga announcements for any postponement notices, which would extend the settlement window beyond the scheduled date. Recent form, particularly goal-scoring patterns in the fortnight before the match, will likely drive order-book adjustments as match day approaches.
Wikipedia Context
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Villarreal CFVillarreal Club de Fútbol, S.A.D., usually abbreviated to Villarreal CF, is a Spanish professional football club based in Villarreal, in the Castellón province of eastern Spain, that plays in La Liga, the top flight of Spanish football.
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Villarreal CF in European football
Villarreal CF, a Spanish football club, has played in European football since 2002, in the Intertoto Cup, UEFA Cup, Champions League, Europa League, Europa Conference League and UEFA Super Cup. The club won their first Europa League title in 2021.
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Villarreal CF B
Villarreal Club de Fútbol "B" is a Spanish football team based in Villarreal, in the autonomous community of Valencia. Founded in 1999, it is the reserve team of Villarreal CF and plays in Primera Federación – Group 2, holding home games at Estadio de la Cerámica, with a 23,008-seat capacity.
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Villarreal CF C
Villarreal Club de Fútbol "C" is the third team of Villarreal CF, a Spanish football team based in Villarreal, in the autonomous community of Valencia. Founded in 2002, and plays in Tercera Federación – Group 6, holding home games at Ciudad Deportiva Villarreal CF, with a capacity of 5,000 seats.
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $46K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is strong — order books support five-figure trades with single-cent slippage.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 13 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Villarreal CF vs. Sevilla FC - Exact Score"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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