Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the K-League game, scheduled for May 2 at 6:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Both Teams to Score | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Gwangju FC (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Gwangju FC (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Daejeon Hana Citizen FC (-2.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Gwangju FC and Daejeon Hana Citizen FC are scheduled to meet in the K-League on 2 May 2026 at 6:00 AM ET. This fixture represents a mid-table encounter in South Korea's top division, where both clubs typically compete for European qualification spots or mid-table stability depending on the season. The settlement window closes on 2 May at 10:00 AM ET, allowing roughly four hours post-kick-off for final settlement confirmation.
The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal liquidity in this particular market or a structural absence of backing for the "yes" outcome at any price. K-League matches historically show volatile pricing in prediction markets, particularly for fixtures involving clubs outside the traditional "big three" (FC Seoul, Suwon Samsung Bluewings, Ulsan Hyundai). Comparable mid-tier K-League matchups have seen probabilities shift significantly in the 48 hours before kick-off as information about team injuries, recent form, or weather conditions emerges.
Traders should monitor official K-League announcements regarding squad availability and any fixture postponements, though May scheduling typically avoids weather disruptions. Recent team news from Korean football media outlets will be critical—Gwangju and Daejeon's current league position, recent results, and head-to-head records will inform whether the current zero probability represents genuine consensus or simply thin order book depth. The early morning ET kick-off time may also affect liquidity patterns on Western-based prediction markets.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.kleague.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Gwangju FC vs. Daejeon Hana Citizen FC - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$12K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for around a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.kleague.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 2 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: