Resolution criteria on PolyGram: In the upcoming J2 100 Year Vision League game between Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo and RB Ōmiya Ardija, scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET: This market will resolve based on the final score of the Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. RB Ōmiya Ardija match originally scheduled for May 9, 2026 at 1:00 AM ET, considering only the result at the end of 90 minutes of regulation plus stoppage time; extra time and penalty shoot-outs are excluded.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Exact Score: 2-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 0-3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-0 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 1-3 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 2-2 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Exact Score: 3-1 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo will face RB Ōmiya Ardija in a J2 League fixture on 9 May 2026. The market prices exact-score outcomes for the 90-minute result, with all unmatched scorelines resolving to "Any Other Score." The 0% crowd-implied probability reflects the current order book on Polymarket, where no traders have yet committed capital to specific scorelines at prices that would register measurable probability mass. This absence of early liquidity is typical for matches scheduled five months ahead, particularly in the J2 League, which attracts lower trading volumes than top-tier competitions.
Historical patterns in J2 League matches show that draws and narrow victories (1–0, 1–1, 2–1) account for roughly 60% of outcomes, with higher-scoring results increasingly rare as match distance increases. Neither Consadole nor Ōmiya Ardija has established itself as a consistent high-volume scorer in recent seasons, suggesting that extreme scorelines carry minimal historical precedent. The current zero probability likely reflects the market's initial state rather than genuine trader conviction that no exact score will occur.
Traders should monitor team news, injury announcements, and fixture congestion in the weeks before May. Consadole's performance in the 2025–26 season will establish baseline form and goal-scoring patterns. Any managerial changes, significant transfers, or mid-season tactical shifts at either club could alter expected scoreline distributions. The settlement window closes at 05:00 UTC on 9 May, allowing only the final whistle to determine resolution.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.jleague.jp/en/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Hokkaidō Consadole Sapporo vs. RB Ōmiya Ardija - Exact Score" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$697 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.jleague.jp/en/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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