Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the La Liga 2 game, scheduled for May 9 at 10:15 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| UD Almería (-1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Burgos CF (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| UD Almería (-2.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 3.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Burgos CF and UD Almería are scheduled to meet on 9 May 2026 in a La Liga 2 fixture, with kick-off at 10:15 AM ET. This match falls late in the Spanish second-tier season, a period when promotion and relegation outcomes typically crystallise. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either minimal trading activity on this specific market variant or a structural absence of backing at any price level. In La Liga 2 contexts, late-season fixtures between mid-table or lower-ranked sides often see thin liquidity on derivative markets, particularly for non-standard outcome types. Historical precedent suggests that when crowd-implied probability sits at zero, it frequently signals either genuine disinterest from the trading population or a mismatch between market design and trader demand rather than a high-confidence consensus.
Traders monitoring this market should track team news, injury reports and official La Liga 2 fixture confirmations as the settlement window approaches. Both clubs' league positions and remaining fixtures will determine competitive intensity; a side already relegated or mathematically assured of promotion may field a rotated squad. Polymarket's order book depth will indicate whether liquidity emerges closer to kick-off, a common pattern for lower-profile European football matches. The settlement window closes at 14:15 UTC on 9 May, allowing only a narrow window post-match for resolution, so traders should verify exact settlement criteria and data source specifications before committing capital.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Burgos CF vs. UD Almería - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$45K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the around the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.laliga.com/en-GB/laliga-hypermotion. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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