Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team's player records the highest individual run total in the cricket match between Cook Islands and Korea Republic scheduled for 2026-05-07 in T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Cook Islands will be considered correct if the highest individual score in the match is recorded exclusively by a player from Cook Islands. The outcome corresponding to Korea Republic will be considered correct if the highest individual score is recorded exclusively by a player from Korea Republic.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| COO | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| KOR | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The T20 World Cup East Asia-Pacific Qualifier Regional Final between Cook Islands and Korea Republic on 7 May 2026 will determine which team's leading batter records the match's highest individual score. The market currently reflects 100% implied probability for Cook Islands, suggesting the order book on Polymarket is pricing an overwhelming expectation that a Cook Islands player will outscore all Korea Republic batters. This extreme probability typically emerges when one team holds a substantial competitive advantage or when historical matchup data heavily favours one side's batting depth.
Cook Islands has established itself as a stronger T20 cricket programme within the East Asia-Pacific region, with more developed domestic infrastructure and international exposure than Korea Republic. Historical regional qualifiers show that established cricket nations consistently produce higher individual scores in knockout fixtures, partly because their players have faced higher-quality bowling attacks in preparation. The current pricing reflects this structural advantage, though qualifier tournaments occasionally produce outlier performances from underdog nations when conditions favour aggressive batting or when key opposition bowlers underperform.
Traders should monitor team announcements regarding squad selection and player availability, particularly any late injuries to Cook Islands' established batters or surprise inclusions of form players from Korea Republic. Pitch reports from the venue closer to match day will carry weight, as T20 conditions favouring pace or spin can significantly alter scoring patterns. Recent form in warm-up fixtures and any published team lineups will provide concrete data points to test whether the current 100% probability accurately reflects underlying competitive reality or represents mispricing.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 World Cup, East Asia-Pacific Qualifier, Regional Final: Cook Islands vs Korea Republic - Team To" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$350 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 15 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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