Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between China and Malaysia scheduled for 2026-05-07 in T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to China will be considered correct if China is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Malaysia.The outcome corresponding to Malaysia will be considered correct if Malaysia is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than China. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| CHN | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Draw | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| MYS | 0% YES | 100% NO |
China and Malaysia will face off in a women's T20 match on 7 May 2026 as part of the Hong Kong Tri-Series. This market settles on which team hits more sixes during the encounter, with settlement determined by official ESPN Cricinfo records. The current order book on Polymarket shows a 0% implied probability for China, reflecting either minimal trading activity or strong market conviction that Malaysia will record more sixes.
Women's T20 cricket has seen increasing aggression in recent years, though six-hitting rates vary considerably by team strength and opposition quality. China's women's team has historically competed at a lower intensity level compared to established T20 nations, whilst Malaysia has developed a more consistent domestic T20 programme. In comparable regional fixtures, weaker teams often trail in boundary-hitting metrics, particularly sixes, which require both technical skill and aggressive intent. The 0% probability suggests traders view Malaysia as substantially more likely to dominate the six-hitting count, though this extreme reading warrants scrutiny given the inherent volatility of T20 cricket.
Key variables include team composition announcements closer to the match date and any recent form data from qualifying rounds of the tri-series. Weather conditions in Hong Kong during early May—particularly wind patterns—can materially affect six-hitting potential. Traders should monitor whether either team makes significant squad changes or if preliminary matches in the tournament reveal unexpected batting aggression from China. The settlement window closes 14 May 2026, providing a fortnight post-match for official statistics to be finalised.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Hong Kong Tri-Series, Women: China vs Malaysia - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$751 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 14 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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