Sports

Trade: T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes

Opened · Settles

Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Bangladesh and Sri Lanka scheduled for 2026-05-02 in T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Bangladesh will be considered correct if Bangladesh is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Sri Lanka.The outcome corresponding to Sri Lanka will be considered correct if Sri Lanka is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Bangladesh. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".

PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.

Liquidity
—
Total Volume
$333
24h Volume
—
Open Interest
$483
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Market outcomes

Draw 100% YES0% NO
BGD 0% YES100% NO
LKA 0% YES100% NO

Market context

Bangladesh and Sri Lanka's women's T20 sides will contest a match on 2 May 2026, with this market tracking which team strikes more sixes during the encounter. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability, suggesting the market has settled on a decisive expectation regarding six-hitting output between the two sides.

Women's T20 cricket has seen increasing six-hitting rates over recent seasons, though regional disparities remain pronounced. Bangladesh's women's team has historically favoured controlled batting approaches in T20 formats, whilst Sri Lanka has demonstrated greater aggression in powerplay and death overs during recent bilateral series. Comparable fixtures between these nations show variable outcomes dependent on pitch conditions and squad composition; the 2024 Asia Cup matches provided mixed results with neither side establishing consistent dominance in boundary-hitting metrics.

Traders should monitor squad announcements closer to the match date, particularly regarding inclusion of aggressive middle-order batters or opening combinations known for six-hitting. Venue conditions at the scheduled ground will prove material—smaller grounds or shorter boundaries typically correlate with elevated six counts. Recent form in domestic T20 competitions and any pre-series warm-up matches will offer updated baseline data on current batting aggression levels. The settlement window closes 9 May 2026, allowing two weeks post-match for official ESPN Cricinfo statistics to be finalised and published.

Wikipedia Context

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Resolution source

This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.

How to trade this market step by step

The mechanics for trading "T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.

  1. Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
  2. Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
  3. Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
  4. Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
  5. Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
  6. Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.

How active is this market?

$333 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.

The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.

Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.

Key terms

YES / NO share
A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
CLOB
Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
Liquidity
USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
UMA optimistic oracle
The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
Slippage
The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
Conditional token
ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.

See the full prediction-market glossary →

Frequently asked questions

How does this market resolve?

Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.

When does this market close?

This prediction market is scheduled to close on 9 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.

How can I trade on "T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes"?

To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.

What happens when the market resolves?

When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.

Risk and regulatory note

Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.

Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.

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