Trade: Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC - More Markets
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: More markets for the Chinese Super League game, scheduled for May 24 at 5:00 AM ET.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $3K
- Total Volume
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- 24h Volume
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- Open Interest
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Market outcomes
| O/U 2.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
| O/U 4.5 | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| Both Teams to Score | 51% YES | 49% NO |
| Qingdao Hainiu FC (-1.5) | 39% YES | 62% NO |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-1.5) | 31% YES | 69% NO |
| Qingdao Hainiu FC (-2.5) | 27% YES | 74% NO |
| Chongqing Tonglianglong FC (-2.5) | 28% YES | 72% NO |
| O/U 1.5 | 53% YES | 47% NO |
Market context
Qingdao Hainiu and Chongqing Tonglianglong are scheduled to meet in the Chinese Super League on 24 May at 05:00 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 53% implied probability for the "More Markets" outcome, indicating moderate conviction amongst traders that additional betting markets will be offered for this fixture. This probability has formed through real-time trading activity on the platform's order book, where participants are pricing their expectations of market expansion around this match.
The Chinese Super League typically sees expanded market offerings for high-profile fixtures, particularly those involving clubs with significant supporter bases or playoff implications. Historical precedent suggests that mid-table or lower-profile matchups often receive limited initial market coverage, with additional markets materialising only if trading volume justifies the operational cost. Qingdao Hainiu and Chongqing Tonglianglong occupy mid-tier positions in the league structure, making the probability of expanded markets contingent on broader league scheduling decisions and Polymarket's commercial assessment of demand.
Traders should monitor official Chinese Super League fixture announcements and any statements from Polymarket regarding market expansion policies. The settlement window closes on 24 May at 09:00 UTC, allowing approximately four hours after kickoff for resolution. Key variables include whether the match generates sufficient trading interest to warrant additional markets, and whether either club's injury status or league standing shifts trader expectations about market depth prior to the deadline.
Wikipedia Context
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Qingdao Hainiu F.C.Qingdao Hainiu Football Club is a Chinese professional football club based in Qingdao, Shandong, that competes in the Chinese Super League, the top tier of Chinese football. Qingdao Hainiu plays its home matches at the Qingdao Youth Football Stadium, located within Chengyang District. Their current owners are the privately owned cable manufacturers Qingdao J
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Qingdao Hailifeng F.C.Qingdao Hailifeng F.C., previously named Qingdao JVC Zhengyi, Qingdao Benda and Hefei Chuangyi was a former professional association football club in the Chinese Football Association Jia League. The club was engaged in "bribery and private business dealing" in matches held in 2007 and 2009 and was banned from all future national matches organised by the Chin
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Qingdao Haili HelicoptersQingdao Haili Helicopters is a Chinese aircraft manufacturer. The organization was formed in 2007 to acquire the American helicopter company Brantly International, and manufacture the Brantly B-2 series of helicopters. The company later developed an unmanned version of the Brantly design developed with Weifang Tianxiang Aerospace Industry that was first flo
Resolution source
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.csl-china.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC - More Markets" are the same as any other PolyGram sporting event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$0 in lifetime turnover and $3K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for sports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is sourced from https://www.csl-china.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 24 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Qingdao Hainiu FC vs. Chongqing Tonglianglong FC - More Markets"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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