Trade: Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026?
Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to the next team Maxx Crosby officially joins by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. If Maxx Crosby does not officially join a new team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Las Vegas Raiders”. If Maxx Crosby joins a team that is not listed, this market will resolve to “Other”. If Maxx Crosby is released and is not signed by another team, retires, or is not under contract with any professional team by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. Transfers or assignments between a team’s senior team and reserve or affiliate teams will not be considered for this market.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
- Liquidity
- $21K
- Total Volume
- $205K
- 24h Volume
- $499
- Open Interest
- $9K
Market outcomes
| Carolina Panthers | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Cleveland Browns | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Dallas Cowboys | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| Philadelphia Eagles | 3% YES | 97% NO |
| San Francisco 49ers | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Seattle Seahawks | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Tennessee Titans | 5% YES | 95% NO |
| Washington Commanders | 1% YES | 99% NO |
Market context
Maxx Crosby, the Las Vegas Raiders' defensive end, will either remain with the franchise through the 2025 season or be traded or released before the August 2026 deadline. The market currently shows 0% implied probability of him joining another team, reflecting the base case that he stays put. Crosby signed a four-year, $98.5 million extension with Las Vegas in 2023, making him one of the league's highest-paid pass rushers. His contract runs through 2027, giving the Raiders substantial control over his immediate future.
Defensive ends with elite production records rarely change teams mid-contract unless traded for draft capital or released for salary-cap reasons. Comparable cases include Khalil Mack, who remained with Oakland through his extension before a 2018 trade, and Joey Bosa, who has stayed with Los Angeles despite market volatility. The 0% probability on the order book suggests traders view a mid-contract departure as unlikely given Crosby's age (26), performance level, and the Raiders' investment in him.
Key catalysts include the Raiders' front-office decisions following the 2025 season, particularly if the franchise undergoes a rebuild or faces cap constraints. Any coaching or ownership changes could alter trade calculus. The NFL trade deadline in March 2026 represents the most probable window for movement. Traders should monitor Raiders salary-cap projections, playoff performance, and any public statements from management regarding roster direction heading into 2026.
Wikipedia Context
-
Maxx CrosbyMaxx Robert Crosby is an American professional football defensive end for the Las Vegas Raiders of the National Football League (NFL). He played college football for the Eastern Michigan Eagles and was selected by the Oakland Raiders in the fourth round of the 2019 NFL draft.
-
Mary CrosbyMary Frances Crosby is an American actress, the only daughter of actor/singer Bing Crosby and his second wife Kathryn Grant. She played Kristin Shepard in the television series Dallas.
-
Mrs Crosby'sCrosby's Restaurant and Bar, also known as Mrs Crosby's and Ma Crosby's, is a historic bar in Ciudad Acuña, Coahuila, Mexico, near the Mexico–United States border. It was founded by Esther Crosby in Del Rio, Texas, in 1915 and relocated to Acuña in 1923, becoming one of the most popular eating, drinking, and dancing venues in Acuña. For some time it also inc
How this market resolves
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
How to trade this market step by step
The mechanics for trading "Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026?" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
- Sign in on polygram.ink with your email — no full KYC under $1,500 lifetime trading volume.
- Deposit USDC on Polygon (lowest fees, ~$0.01 per transaction) or Ethereum. Funds credit after 12 confirmations.
- Pick a side. Buy YES if you believe the event will happen; buy NO if you think it won't. The current YES price reflects the market's collective probability.
- Size your position. If you stake 100 USDC at 50% YES, you'll receive shares that pay $200 if YES resolves true — a 100% gross return. If NO resolves, your shares are worth $0.
- Set risk controls (optional). Stop-loss, take-profit, and limit-order types all supported. Use the trade ticket's slippage box to cap your maximum entry price.
- Wait for resolution. When the event resolves on-chain via the UMA optimistic oracle, the winning side settles to 100¢ automatically and USDC hits your balance within seconds. Withdrawable to any wallet you control.
How active is this market?
$205K in lifetime turnover and $21K of resting liquidity puts this market in the top 10% by volume for nfl contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $499 in turnover, consistent with the market's lifetime daily-average pace.
The market has been open for 3 months — the price has had time to stabilise as new information arrived.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Key terms
- YES / NO share
- A binary outcome token that pays $1.00 if the underlying claim resolves true (YES) or false (NO), and $0 otherwise. The market price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the implied probability.
- CLOB
- Central limit order book. The matching engine that pairs YES buyers with NO buyers (effectively the same trade). Polymarket's CLOB on Polygon executes trades on-chain via the conditional-tokens framework.
- Liquidity
- USDC capital sitting in resting limit orders inside the order book. Deeper liquidity means smaller slippage on large trades and a tighter bid-ask spread.
- UMA optimistic oracle
- The on-chain dispute system that settles each Polymarket market. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour challenge window opens, and unchallenged proposals finalise the resolution.
- Slippage
- The difference between the displayed mid-price and your fill price. Affects market orders most; limit orders avoid slippage but may take time to fill.
- Conditional token
- ERC-1155 outcome share issued by Gnosis Conditional Tokens on Polygon. The token type that resolves to $1.00 or $0.00 at settlement.
Frequently asked questions
How does this market resolve?
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
When does this market close?
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 September 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
How can I trade on "Where will Maxx Crosby play in 2026?"?
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
What happens when the market resolves?
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Risk and regulatory note
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Related prediction markets
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: