Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the tennis match between Anna Hertel and Iva Ivanovic in the ITF Women Banja Luka, originally scheduled for June 3, 2026 at 4:00AM ET. This market will resolve to 'Anna Hertel' if Anna Hertel advances against Iva Ivanovic. This market will resolve to 'Iva Ivanovic' if Iva Ivanovic advances against Anna Hertel. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one player advances due to the opponent's retirement, default, or disqualification, this market will resolve to the player who advances.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| ITF Banja Luka: Anna Hertel vs Iva Ivanovic | 74% YES | 27% NO |
| Completed Match | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Anna Hertel faces Iva Ivanovic in the ITF Women's tournament at Banja Luka, scheduled for 3 June 2026. The market currently prices Hertel's advancement at 74% on Polymarket's order book, reflecting a substantial favourite position. Settlement occurs by 10 June 2026, allowing a seven-day window for match completion before the 50-50 tie-break clause activates.
ITF Women's circuits at this tier typically favour players with consistent ranking trajectories and recent match fitness. Hertel's current market valuation suggests traders perceive a meaningful edge in head-to-head dynamics or recent form relative to Ivanovic. Historical ITF matchups at Banja Luka have produced outcomes broadly aligned with ATP/WTA ranking differentials, though upsets occur at roughly 20-25% frequency when the seeding gap exceeds two positions. The 74% probability implies confidence in Hertel's technical or physical advantage, though not overwhelming certainty.
Traders should monitor official ITF draw confirmations and any late withdrawals through early June, as scheduling changes occasionally trigger match postponements. Court surface conditions at Banja Luka—typically clay—favour certain playing styles; recent tournament reports from May 2026 will clarify court state. Injury announcements from either player in the week preceding 3 June represent the primary catalyst for significant probability shifts. Weather disruptions are possible but unlikely to delay beyond the seven-day settlement window given the tournament's European location and early June timing.
The 2025 ITF Bengaluru Open is a professional tennis tournament played on outdoor hard courts.It is the second edition of the tournament which is part of the 2025 ITF Women's World Tennis Tour. It took place in Bengaluru, India between 20 and 26 January 2025.
The 2026 ITF Bengaluru Open is a professional tennis tournament played on outdoor hard courts.It is the third edition of the tournament which is part of the 2026 ITF Women's World Tennis Tour. It took place in Bengaluru, India between 16 and 22 February 2026.
The ITF Bengaluru Open is a tournament for professional female tennis players played on outdoor Hard courts. The event is classified as a $100,000 ITF Women's Circuit tournament and has been held in Bengaluru, India, since 2024.
Irfan Jauhari is an Indonesian professional footballer who plays as a winger or forward for Super League club Persis Solo.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "ITF Banja Luka: Anna Hertel vs Iva Ivanovic" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$318 in lifetime turnover and $2K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $318 in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.itftennis.com/en/tournament-calendar/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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