Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to which team hits the greater number of sixes in the cricket match between Bangladesh and Sri Lanka scheduled for 2026-04-30 in T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women. This market resolves according to the finalized match statistics as published by https://www.espncricinfo.com/. The outcome corresponding to Bangladesh will be considered correct if Bangladesh is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Sri Lanka.The outcome corresponding to Sri Lanka will be considered correct if Sri Lanka is officially recorded as hitting more sixes than Bangladesh. If both teams record the same number of sixes, the market will resolve to "Draw".
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| BGD | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| LKA | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Draw | 0% YES | 100% NO |
A women's T20 match between Bangladesh and Sri Lanka is scheduled for 30 April 2026, with this market tracking which team will strike more sixes during the encounter. The current order book on Polymarket reflects 0% implied probability for Bangladesh hitting more sixes, suggesting the market is pricing in either a Sri Lankan advantage or genuine uncertainty being resolved toward the visitors. Settlement will be determined by official ESPN Cricinfo match statistics, with the window closing on 7 May 2026.
Historically, women's T20 cricket has seen increasing six-hitting rates across both established and emerging teams, though Sri Lanka's women have generally maintained stronger batting depth and aggression in recent international series. Bangladesh's women's team has improved considerably but remains inconsistent in power-hitting execution, particularly against quality bowling attacks. Recent T20 World Cup and bilateral series data shows Sri Lanka averaging higher six counts in comparable fixtures, which may explain the current market positioning, though sample sizes for direct head-to-head encounters remain limited.
Key variables traders should monitor include squad announcements and team composition closer to the match date, as the presence of in-form batters significantly influences six-hitting frequency. Pitch reports from the venue in Bangladesh will matter substantially—slower, lower pitches typically suppress boundary-hitting rates. Recent form data from both teams' preceding domestic or international matches in April 2026 will provide concrete indicators of batting intent and conditions, whilst injury updates to key players could shift the relative advantage between sides.
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This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.espncricinfo.com/. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "T20 Series Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka, Women: Bangladesh vs Sri Lanka - Most Sixes" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$333 in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for games contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.espncricinfo.com/. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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