Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 1 match between Yawara Esports and Players in the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 7:00PM ET. This market will resolve to "Yawara Esports" if Yawara Esports win the match against Players. This market will resolve to "Players" if Players win the match against Yawara Esports. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 53% YES | 48% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 52% YES | 48% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 62% YES | 39% NO |
| Map Handicap: YAW (-1.5) vs Players (+1.5) | 34% YES | 66% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
Yawara Esports face Players in a best-of-three Counter-Strike match during the BetBoom Storm Group Stage, scheduled for 11 May at 7:00PM ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 52% implied probability for Yawara, suggesting near-parity between the sides with marginal lean towards the favourites. This probability emerges from real-time trading activity across the platform's liquidity pools rather than consensus forecasting, meaning sharp movements can occur as new information enters the market or as traders adjust positions ahead of the 12 May settlement window.
Comparable Group Stage matches in regional Counter-Strike tournaments typically see probability shifts of 5–15 percentage points in the 48 hours before play, driven by roster confirmations, stand-in announcements, or recent LAN results. Both teams' recent form in online qualifiers and any changes to their active lineups will be material. Traders should monitor official BetBoom communications and team social media for last-minute roster updates, which have historically shifted odds in similar fixtures. The seven-day cancellation clause creates a secondary risk: if the match is delayed beyond 19 May without completion, the market resolves to 50-50 regardless of match state, eliminating directional exposure.
The settlement mechanism requires a decisive result within the scheduled window. Incomplete matches that produce a winner via forfeit or technical ruling will settle according to that outcome; however, ties or full cancellations trigger the 50-50 resolution, which currently sits between the two sides' probabilities and represents a material tail risk for both long and short positions.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/dust2br. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Yawara Esports vs Players (BO3) - BetBoom Storm Group Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $26K of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is modest — expect a couple of cents of slippage on $1k+ trades.
Last 24 hours alone saw $2K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/dust2br. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 12 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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