Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round of 16 match between Tricked and AM Gaming in the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 7 at 7:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Tricked" if Tricked win the match against AM Gaming. This market will resolve to "AM Gaming" if AM Gaming win the match against Tricked. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map Handicap: AM (-1.5) vs Tricked (+1.5) | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 0% YES | 100% NO |
Tricked and AM Gaming are scheduled to face off in a Counter-Strike best-of-three match on 7 May at 7:00 AM ET as part of the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs Round of 16. The current order book on Polymarket shows zero YES volume, reflecting either minimal trader interest or a consensus that the match carries execution risk. The 0% implied probability suggests the market is pricing in either structural uncertainty around the fixture itself or that traders are awaiting clearer information before committing capital.
European regional Counter-Strike tournaments frequently experience scheduling delays and fixture postponements, particularly when involving smaller organisations with limited infrastructure. Comparable fixtures in similar-tier European competitions have historically resolved to 50-50 outcomes at elevated rates due to cancellations or incomplete matches. The settlement window extends seven days beyond the scheduled date, providing a buffer for rescheduling, but the current probability reflects scepticism about the match proceeding as scheduled or being completed within the resolution window.
Traders should monitor official BC Game Masters announcements and both teams' social media for fixture confirmations, roster changes, or venue issues in the days preceding 7 May. Tricked's recent competitive activity and AM Gaming's participation status in the series remain key catalysts. Any confirmation of the match proceeding as scheduled would likely trigger significant YES-side interest, given the current vacuum in the order book. Conversely, announcements of delays or forfeitures would push resolution toward the 50-50 tie outcome.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemasters. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Tricked vs AM Gaming (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$46K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the above the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemasters. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 7 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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