Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Semifinal 2 match between Nemiga and CYBERSHOKE Esports in the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs, initially scheduled for May 10 at 9:00AM ET. This market will resolve to "Nemiga" if Nemiga win the match against CYBERSHOKE Esports. This market will resolve to "CYBERSHOKE Esports" if CYBERSHOKE Esports win the match against Nemiga. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 1 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Map 2 Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| O/U 2.5 Games | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Map Handicap: NEMI (-1.5) vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Nemiga and CYBERSHOKE Esports are scheduled to contest the second semifinal of the BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs in Counter-Strike on 10 May at 9:00 AM ET. The match format is best-of-three, with the winner advancing to the grand final. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Nemiga, indicating traders are pricing an overwhelming expectation that Nemiga will prevail. This extreme confidence suggests either substantial disparity in team strength or limited liquidity at the extremes of the probability range.
Nemiga has established itself as a consistent performer in Eastern European Counter-Strike, whilst CYBERSHOKE Esports operates at a lower tier competitively. Historical precedent in regional playoffs shows that seeding disparities of this magnitude typically result in dominant performances from the favoured team. The BC Game Masters series represents a secondary-tier tournament structure, which can occasionally produce upsets, but the current market pricing reflects conventional expectations rather than speculative positioning.
Traders should monitor roster confirmations and any last-minute scheduling changes through official BC Game Masters communications. The settlement window closes at 19:30 UTC on 10 May, allowing approximately ten hours post-scheduled start time for match completion. Withdrawal of either team, technical delays exceeding seven days, or an incomplete match would trigger the 50-50 resolution clause. Current liquidity constraints at 100% probability suggest limited trading activity at present odds.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemasters. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Nemiga vs CYBERSHOKE Esports (BO3) - BC Game Masters Europe Series #1 Playoffs" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$17K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $10K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://www.twitch.tv/bcgamemasters. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 10 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
Explore more prediction market odds and trading opportunities on PolyGram: