Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market refers to the Counter-Strike Round 3 match between Infinite and FORZE Reload in the Exort Series Main Stage, initially scheduled for May 11 at 5:30AM ET. This market will resolve to "Infinite" if Infinite win the match against FORZE Reload. This market will resolve to "FORZE Reload" if FORZE Reload win the match against Infinite. If the match is canceled (not played at all), ends in a tie, or is delayed beyond 7 days from the scheduled date without a winner determined, this market will resolve to 50-50. If the match begins but is not completed, and one team wins due to the opponent's forfeiture, disqualification, or walkover, this market will resolve to the team who wins.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Map Handicap: INF (-1.5) vs FORZE Reload (+1.5) | 100% YES | 0% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 0% YES | 100% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Kills | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Odd/Even Total Rounds | 50% YES | 50% NO |
| Match Winner | 100% YES | 0% NO |
Counter-Strike's Exort Series Main Stage will host a Round 3 best-of-three match between Infinite and FORZE Reload on 11 May at 05:30 ET. The current order book on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for Infinite's victory, indicating either overwhelming confidence in their superiority or minimal liquidity at the extremes. This pricing leaves no meaningful arbitrage opportunity for traders backing FORZE Reload, even at substantial odds.
Infinite have established themselves as a stronger competitive unit within the CIS and international Counter-Strike landscape, whilst FORZE Reload represents a reconstituted roster following roster changes that affected the original FORZE organisation. Historical precedent suggests that teams entering tournaments with fresh lineups face execution risk in early rounds, particularly in best-of-three formats where map veto and anti-stratting become critical. The 100% probability on Polymarket's order book likely reflects this structural disadvantage rather than certainty of outcome.
Key catalysts for traders include any last-minute roster changes or player availability issues, which could emerge in the 48 hours before the match. The settlement window closes at 15:30 UTC on 11 May, allowing approximately ten hours post-match for official results confirmation. Traders should monitor the Exort Series official communications for schedule confirmations, as early-morning ET fixtures occasionally face delays. The market's extreme pricing suggests limited participation; meaningful movement would require either credible information about team preparation or unexpected roster disruptions.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://kick.com/exort_en2. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Counter-Strike: Infinite vs FORZE Reload (BO3) - Exort Series Main Stage" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$14K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for esports contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
Last 24 hours alone saw $14K in turnover, well above the lifetime daily-average for this market — a clear sign of news catalysing trader activity right now.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
Resolution is sourced from https://kick.com/exort_en2. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 11 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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