Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Up" if the Solana price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream SOL/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET | 100% YES | 0% NO |
This market resolves based on whether Solana's price according to Chainlink's SOL/USD data stream moves upward or remains flat during a five-minute window on 8 May 2026 between 10:00 and 10:05 AM Eastern Time. The current orderbook on Polymarket reflects a 100% implied probability for "Up," indicating traders are pricing in either a near-certainty of upward movement or minimal liquidity at current odds. Such extreme probabilities in short-duration price prediction markets typically reflect either strong directional conviction or sparse trading activity, where even modest buy-side interest can push odds to the extremes.
Five-minute price movements in crypto markets are largely driven by order flow and technical positioning rather than fundamental catalysts. Solana's volatility profile and the specific Chainlink data feed's update frequency will be material considerations; feeds update when price movements exceed defined thresholds or at scheduled intervals, meaning the resolution depends on both actual price action and the timing of data publication. Traders should monitor whether any scheduled announcements, network events, or major exchange activity coincides with the window, though such coordination would be coincidental rather than causal.
The extreme probability reading warrants scrutiny regarding market depth. Polymarket's order book for this contract likely contains limited liquidity at current odds, meaning small counterparty interest could move prices substantially. Historical precedent suggests five-minute crypto price predictions often resolve based on noise rather than directional bias, making the current 100% reading potentially vulnerable to arbitrage if genuine two-sided interest emerges.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Solana Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 100%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 8 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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