Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to “Over” if more than 5.5 games are played during the 2026 NHL Playoffs First Round series between the Colorado Avalanche and Los Angeles Kings. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “Under”. If a partial series is played and not completed by May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve according to the number of games played. If the 2026 NHL Playoffs are cancelled, postponed after May 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or there is otherwise no winner declared within that timeframe, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NHL; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| NHL Playoffs: Avalanche vs. Kings Total Games O/U 5.5 | 0% YES | 100% NO |
The 2026 NHL Playoffs First Round matchup between the Colorado Avalanche and Los Angeles Kings will determine whether their series extends beyond six games. The market currently shows 0% implied probability for "Over 5.5", meaning Polymarket's order book reflects near-total consensus that this series will conclude in five games or fewer. This extreme skew suggests either strong conviction around a sweep or dominant series outcome, or minimal liquidity at current pricing.
First-round NHL series historically favour shorter contests when talent disparities are pronounced. Since 2010, roughly 35% of first-round matchups have ended in five games or fewer, whilst series going to six or seven games occur in approximately 40% and 25% of cases respectively. The Avalanche have been consistent playoff contenders with recent deep runs, whilst the Kings' recent trajectory and roster composition relative to Colorado will heavily influence series length expectations. Current pricing at 0% suggests the market is pricing in either a clear Avalanche advantage or specific roster/health factors favouring a quick resolution.
Traders should monitor roster announcements through March and April 2026, including injury updates for both teams' key players and any mid-season trades affecting depth. The playoff seeding matchup itself—determined by regular-season standings—remains unknown, as does whether either team will enter the series with injury concerns. Recent playoff scheduling changes and format adjustments announced by the NHL should also be tracked, as these could theoretically affect series structure, though first-round best-of-seven formats remain standard.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if no one stakes a counter-claim the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token-holder voting. Payouts clear in USDC to the winning side.
The mechanics for trading "NHL Playoffs: Avalanche vs. Kings Total Games O/U 5.5" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
$2K in lifetime turnover and $0 of resting liquidity puts this market in the below the median by volume for 2026 nhl playoffs contracts on PolyGram. Order-book depth is thin — large orders may need to be split across the book or executed as limit orders.
The market has been open for under a month — fresh enough that information asymmetry remains a real factor.
Higher-volume markets tend to have tighter spreads and faster price discovery — meaning the displayed YES/NO percentages are more likely to reflect the true crowd-implied probability rather than a single trader's directional view.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon. A proposer submits the outcome, a 2-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested the payout is final. Contested outcomes escalate to UMA token holders.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 4 May 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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