Resolution criteria on PolyGram: This market will resolve to "Up" if the Solana price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the SOL/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream SOL/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.
PolyGram is an on-chain prediction market where you trade YES or NO outcome shares with real USDC on Polygon. For this market, buy YES if you believe the event will happen, or NO if you think it won't. Your maximum loss is your stake — winning shares pay $1.00 each at resolution. Unlike sportsbooks, there is no house edge: prices are set by supply and demand from other traders and reflect the crowd's real-time probability.
Market outcomes
| Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET | 0% YES | 100% NO |
This market settles based on whether Solana's price according to Chainlink's SOL/USD data feed is higher or equal at 8:05AM ET on 1 June 2026 compared to 8:00AM ET that same morning. The five-minute window captures intraday volatility during early US trading hours, when liquidity typically increases as European markets close and American equity markets prepare to open. The 0% implied probability on Polymarket's order book reflects either extremely low conviction that price will move upwards in this specific window, or insufficient liquidity to establish meaningful bids at higher probability levels.
Five-minute price movements in crypto markets are largely noise-driven rather than catalyst-driven. Historical precedent suggests that ultra-short-term directional bets on major assets like Solana resolve roughly evenly when settlement windows are this narrow, as the probability of any given five-minute candle closing higher than it opened approaches 50% absent major news. The current 0% probability is an extreme outlier that typically indicates sparse order book depth rather than genuine market conviction about downward pressure.
Traders should monitor whether significant announcements occur during the settlement window itself—regulatory filings, exchange listings, or protocol updates could theoretically move price, though such events rarely align precisely with five-minute intervals. More practically, the Chainlink data feed's own latency and any flash volatility on major spot exchanges will determine settlement. Given the window's brevity and the absence of scheduled catalysts for early June 2026, the primary risk is technical: slippage or feed anomalies rather than fundamental price discovery.
This market settles from the official outcome published at https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd. A proposer submits the final result to the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon; the two-hour dispute window closes and payouts clear in USDC.
The mechanics for trading "Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET" are the same as any other PolyGram event contract. Each YES share resolves to $1 if the event happens, or $0 if it doesn't. The current price between 0¢ and 100¢ is the market's probability estimate, set live by the order book.
As of today, traders on Polymarket price this outcome at 0%. The number updates continuously as the order book clears. PolyGram mirrors the same live odds with locale-aware formatting and USDC settlement.
Resolution is sourced from https://data.chain.link/streams/sol-usd. Settlement is executed by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon, with a 2-hour dispute window before payouts clear.
This prediction market is scheduled to close on 1 June 2026. After the resolving event occurs, settlement typically clears within 24 hours once the UMA optimistic oracle confirms the outcome. All payouts are in USDC on the Polygon network.
To trade on this prediction market, create a free PolyGram account at polygram.ink, deposit USDC via Polygon, and place a YES or NO order on the outcome you believe in. You can learn more on our how-it-works page. Your maximum loss is limited to your stake — there is no leverage or margin.
When the outcome is determined, winning YES shares pay out $1.00 each in USDC, while losing shares pay $0. Settlement is handled by the UMA optimistic oracle on Polygon — a proposer submits the result, a two-hour dispute window opens, and if uncontested, payouts are distributed automatically. You can withdraw your winnings to any Polygon wallet.
Prediction-market positions can lose 100% of staked capital. Outcomes are uncertain by definition — historical accuracy of crowd-implied probabilities is high in aggregate but not for any single market. PolyGram does not provide investment advice. Trade only with capital you can afford to lose.
Regulatory status varies by jurisdiction. Germany, the United States, and most EU countries treat Polymarket-style event contracts under one of three frameworks: financial derivative, gambling product, or unregulated novel asset. Consult local counsel before trading.
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